Likelihood of Hezbollah's Demise After Nasrallah's Death?

There are differing perspectives on the effectiveness of leadership decapitation in counterterrorism and insurgency strategies

Beirut under attack Src: AP

On the morning of Saturday, September 28, the IDF announced it had killed Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in an overnight strike on Beirut's Dahiya district, a Hezbollah stronghold in the Shia-dominated area. Witnesses, including seasoned reporters and analysts who covered the 2006 Lebanon war, described the explosion that levelled six apartments as, unlike anything they had ever seen before. Hezbollah members on-site kept the media at a distance, an unusual move for the group, fuelling speculation that Nasrallah’s body was buried beneath the rubble. Despite the IDF (Israeli Defence Forces) and French intelligence reports, Hezbollah remained silent until later issuing a statement via their Telegram channel, confirming Nasrallah’s death. The question now is: what comes next? How will Iran respond? Let’s start with the basics:

Hezbollah was founded in 1982 in response to Israel’s invasion and occupation of Lebanon, positioning itself as a resistance (muqawama…