The Issue of Abu Ivanka and Iran vs. Gulf States

How should we view the complex relationship—the push and pull, the reciprocal recrimination, the relentless race for narrative—between the Arab Gulf States, especially Saudi Arabia, and Iran?

Yes, they call him Abu Ivanka. Father of Ivanka. Ivanka Trump. That’s how commentators and policymakers in the Gulf States refer to the president-elect, Donald Trump. And while Europeans fret over the days ahead, Gulf States and Israel are quietly celebrating his return to power. Why? Because they've learned the art of transacting with a man who stands for no principle, lacks coherence, and displays no consistency. Once you’ve learned the tricks to navigating Sesame Street, you can enjoy it. Same spirit.

‘Trump’s victory will support His Highness the Crown Prince’s vision in the region for the benefit of all,’ one supporter remarked. ‘Even global companies, especially American ones, will play an active role in this renaissance.’

They’re confident that, despite Trump’s stated aim to disentangle the U.S. from Middle Eastern conflicts, he won’t hesitate to put pressure on Iran—an action that not only bolsters his stance in the region but also appeals domestically. This possibility thrills…